Combining Seasonals with Technical Analysis

The Power of Confluence

Each analytical tool we have covered — seasonal tendencies, COT positioning, and spread chart analysis — has value on its own. But none is sufficient alone. Seasonal patterns fail in individual years. COT extremes can persist for weeks before the market turns. Technical signals produce false breakouts. The real edge comes from combining all three into a single decision framework where multiple independent factors must align before you risk capital.

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